Monday, June 24, 2024

Fox News Steps Up to Make Sure You Won't Have to Turn on CNN to Watch the Upcoming Debate

By Adelle Nazarian  | The Western Journal 

Fox News Media announced on Thursday that its flagship news network will provide comprehensive coverage of the upcoming CNN presidential debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump on June 27, 2024, thereby ensuring that viewers can tune into Fox to watch the debate.

“FOX News Media will present extensive live coverage of the CNN presidential debate between candidates President Joe Biden (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) on Thursday, June 27th in Atlanta, Georgia. Special programming will be available across all of FOX News Media’s key platforms, including FOX News Channel (FNC), FOX Business Network (FBN), FOX News Digital, FOX News Audio and FOX Nation,” a release marking the announcement read.

Fox News Channel has consistently dominated cable news ratings and has surpassed CNN in viewership for many years. In May, Fox  occupied nearly all of the top 100 telecasts and posted double-digit viewer increases while CNN experienced its lowest-rated month in primetime since 1991.

Fox News’s announcement that it will simulcast the historic face-off will allow viewers to tune into Fox without having to turn on CNN.

Many cable news viewers have increasingly grown tired of CNN’s biased coverage against Trump, which could’ve had the unintended secondary effect of pushing viewers right to Fox.

Biden agreed to face off in both presidential debates on May 15 over social media.

Biden posted a video on social media platform X announcing he would be willing to debate Trump, saying, “Well, make my day, pal.”

Trump shot back at Biden in a post on his Truth Social app writing, “Let’s get ready to rumble!!! I am Ready and Willing to Debate Crooked Joe at the two proposed times in June and September.” He added, “Just tell me when, I’ll be there.”

Meanwhile, Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr — an Independent now after years of being a Democrat — accused Trump and Biden of “colluding to lock America into a head-to-head match-up that 70% say they do not want. They are trying to exclude me from their debate because they are afraid I would win. Keeping viable candidates off the debate stage undermines democracy,” in a tweet on X.

Kennedy did not qualify for the CNN debate based on the qualifications the network set. CNN required candidates to be registered on enough state ballots to qualify for a hypothetical 270 electoral votes, and must poll above 15 percent in at least four nationally recognized polls.

Kennedy fell short of both marks.

Coverage of the June 27 event begins at 7 pm ET with a special edition of “Jesse Watters Primetime.” The debate is set to take place from 9-11 pm ET on both Fox News Channel and Fox Business Network.

Post-debate analysis will reportedly be hosted by Sean Hannity live from the spin room in Atlanta and will be followed by “Fox News @ Night” anchored by Trace Gallagher.

The second debate between Trump and Biden, which will be hosted by ABC, is slated to take place on Sept. 10.

Trump and Biden first debated each other during the 2020 presidential election while Trump was the incumbent president and Biden the Democratic challenger.

The debates occurred on September 29, 2020, in Cleveland, Ohio, and on October 22, 2020, in Nashville, Tennessee.

Sunday, June 23, 2024

Developing: Trump Enters Landslide-Victory Territory in Blowout New Rasmussen Poll

By Jack Davis | The Western Journal

The more opponents he faces, the bigger former President Donald Trump’s margin over President Joe Biden becomes.

That’s the bottom line of a new Rasmussen Reports poll that says if likely voters are as enthusiastic when it is time to vote as they were June 20 when the poll was taken, Trump could hit landslide territory with a double-digit victory over Biden.

The last president to have a double-digit margin over his opponent was former President Ronald Reagan in 1984, when he had an 18.2 percent edge over Democrat Walter Mondale in the popular vote, according to the American Presidency Project.

The Rasmussen poll said in a two-man race, Trump would beat Biden 49 percent to 40 percent.

When Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independents Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornell West were added, Trump had a 10-point lead over Biden, 46 percent to 36 percent.

The poll had a margin of error of three percentage points.

Although a recent Fox News poll of registered voters gave Biden a two-point margin, the poll also noted that when it came time for voters who were “extremely” motivated to show their preference, Trump had a three-point lead.

On Saturday, Trump appeared at the Faith & Freedom Coalition’s annual Road to Majority conference and urged attendees to vote, according to NBC.

“The evangelicals and the Christians, they don’t vote as much as they should. I don’t know if you know that,” Trump said,

“You know they go to church every Sunday, but they don’t vote, and we have to make sure they vote just this time, because all you have to do is this time,” he said.

“You don’t have to vote in four years, but you have to vote this time,” he said, according to Fox News.

But Trump grew serious when speaking of the oppression that targeted Christians during the pandemic.

“Never again will the federal government be used to target Americans of faith,” Trump said.

Referencing the court cases against him, Trump noted, “They want to take away my freedom because I will never let them take away your freedom.”

Attendees applauded when Trump promised the “largest deportation operation in American history” would begin the day he takes office.

Trump called Biden “crooked,” a “Marxist,” “incompetent” and “a threat to democracy,” according to NBC.

“We need Christian voters to turn out and the largest numbers ever to tell crooked Joe Biden, ‘You’re fired. You’re fired, Joe. Get out of here,’” Trump said.

Saturday, June 22, 2024

Strategy for Winning Thursday’s 3-on-1 Debate

By John Ullyot |

AP Photo

Everybody knows Thursday’s debate is not a debate between Biden and Trump, it's a three-on-one – a debate that pits Trump against Biden and the two liberal CNN moderators that the incumbent hand-picked, with format and rule constrictions that Biden demanded to mask his frailties to boot.

All of the questions that moderators Jake Tapper and Dana Bash direct at President Trump will be heavily loaded and confined to three topics: “convicted felon,” “insurrection,” and “retribution.”

Trump can rise above the reflexive bias of the moderators and the rigged format by displaying a tone of genuine sadness at what has happened to America under Biden, and a confident, positive vision about restoring the unmatched progress and results he achieved for the country in his first term.

Trump also can blunt any criticism leveled at him by Biden and the moderators by rising above the fray with a few short sentences that rebut their loaded assertion briefly and matter-of-factly, and then pivoting back to his record and the results he will deliver once again to Americans on their top-of-mind issues, including the economy, the border, crime and global instability that have gone south big-time on Biden’s watch.

Consider the following hypothetical answers:

Q: What’s it like to be the first convicted felon to run for office?

Trump: Jake, everyone across America knows that these four unprecedented indictments directed at me by Joe Biden in liberal jurisdictions are what Joe calls “cheap fakes,” and they're demeaning to our country. What’s sad for America, though, is Joe’s resorting to this lawfare because he can’t defend his record and he’s shown he’s mentally unfit for another term. Yet I’ll take anything and everything you decide to throw at me, Joe. It’s actually helping me in the polls because the American people – Republicans, Democrats and Independents – recognize these desperate lawfare takedown trials are so transparently fake. They know they are as fake as that letter you ginned up four years ago from 51 intelligence officials to interfere in the last election. They know your track record and this time they’re not buying it. So bring it on, Joe.

But that's not what I want to talk about tonight, Jake, and neither do ordinary Americans. Whether you're a veteran, or a hard-working immigrant who waited in line and went through the legal process for coming into our country, you're looking at your paycheck and the crime you face on the streets, much of it due to over ten million illegal immigrants who have streamed over Biden’s open border, and you know you can’t afford another four years of this decline. With your vote, we will restore the greatness to America that we had four years ago when I was your president. We did X, Y, Z…

Q: Do you regret carrying out the January 6 insurrection?

Trump: Thank you for another loaded question, Dana. Once again, everyone knows that I urged the crowd of patriotic Americans on January 6 to “peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard.” And anyone who didn’t, and who instead decided to trespass in the Capitol on that day, should be held accountable for trespassing. Meantime, almost no one was held accountable for taking part in the BLM/Defund the Police insurrection that took place in dozens of cities across the country six months earlier, riots that your own Vice President encouraged. She even worked to bail out those arrested for the violence that resulted in dozens of murders and between $1-2 billion in damage, mainly destroying and burning black-owned small businesses in Democrat-run cities. Yet somehow Nancy Pelosi and Democrats in Congress held not a single hearing into that insurrection.

But that's not what I want to talk about tonight, Dana, and neither do ordinary Americans. Whether you're a veteran, a hard-working immigrant…[see above]

Q: Whom will you target first for retribution if you get re-elected?

Trump: I’m glad you asked that question, Jake. Many people forget that less than a month after I was elected in November 2016 your media colleagues asked if my Justice Department would prosecute my opponent Hillary Clinton for destroying classified information including 30,000 documents held in her home on private servers. I said no, that would be too divisive for our country. In declining to prosecute her, I took a lot of flak from some in my base who wanted the law enforced fairly against her. But I was convinced that we should move on as a country, and that prosecuting my former political opponent was not right and would divide the country.

Unlike Joe Biden, I certainly did not cook up bogus lawfare trials in conservative jurisdictions to go after my opponent or anyone else who, in my case, made up endless allegations against me out of whole cloth. So, Jake, look at my record, plain-and-simple, and you tell me if I ever sought “retribution” against anyone in my four years in office. The answer is never.

But once again, that's not what I want to talk about tonight, and neither do ordinary Americans. Whether you're a veteran, a hard-working immigrant…[see above]

By remaining above the fray, delivering brief, sharp and matter-of-fact rebuttals to the inevitably loaded questions the moderators and Biden throw at him, and pivoting back to what he will do to restore the positive gains he achieved on front-of-mind issues in his first term, Trump can not only win the debate, he can extend dramatically his lead among voters in key battleground states and around the country.

Friday, June 21, 2024

How California's Paradise Become Our Purgatory

 Victor Davis Hanson |

AP Photo/Rich Pedroncelli

California has become a test case of the suicide of the West. Never before has such a state, so rich in natural resources and endowed with such a bountiful human inheritance, self-destructed so rapidly.

How and why did California so utterly consume its unmatched natural and ancestral inheritance and end up as a warning to Western civilization of what might be in store for anyone who followed its nihilism?

The symptoms of the state's suicide are indisputable.

Governor Gavin Newsom enjoyed a recent $98 billion budget surplus -- gifted from multibillion-dollar federal COVID-19 subsidies, the highest income and gas taxes in the nation, and among the country's steepest sales and property taxes.

Yet in a year, he turned it into a growing $45 billion budget deficit.

At a time of an over-regulated, overtaxed, and sputtering economy, Newsom spent lavishly on new entitlements, illegal immigrants, and untried and inefficient green projects.

Newsom was endowed with two of the wettest years in recent California history. Yet he and radical environmentalists squandered the water bounty -- as snowmelts and runoff long designated for agricultural irrigation were drained from aqueducts and reservoirs to flow out to sea.

Newsom transferred millions of dollars designated by a voter referendum to build dams and aqueducts for water storage and instead blew up four historic dams on the Klamath River. For decades, these now-destroyed scenic lakes provided clean, green hydroelectric power, irrigation storage, flood control, and recreation.

California hosts one-third of the nation's welfare recipients. Over a fifth of the population lives below the property line. Nearly half the nation's homeless sleep on the streets of its major cities.

The state's downtowns are dirty, dangerous, and increasingly abandoned by businesses -- most recently Google -- that cannot rely on a defunded and shackled police.

Newsom's California has spent billions on homeless relief and subsidizing millions of new illegal migrant arrivals across the state's porous southern border.

The result was predictably even more homeless and more illegal immigrants, all front-loaded onto the state's already overtaxed and broken healthcare, housing, and welfare entitlements.

Newsom raised the minimum wage for fast-food workers to $22 an hour. The result was wage inflation rippling out to all service areas, unaffordable food for the poor, and massive shut-downs and bankruptcies of fast food outlets.

Twenty-seven percent of Californians were born outside of the United States. It is a minority-majority state. Yet California has long dropped unifying civic education, while the bankrupt state funds exploratory commissions to consider divisive racial reparations.

California's universities are hotbeds of ethnic, religious, and racial chauvinism and infighting. State officials, however, did little as its campuses were plagued for months by rampant and violent antisemitism.

Almost nightly, the nation watches mass smash-and-grab attacks on California retail stores. Carjackers and thieves own the night. They are rarely caught, even more rarely arrested -- and almost never convicted.

Currently, Newsom is fighting in the courts to stop the people's constitutional right to place on the ballot initiatives to restore penalties for violent crime and theft.

Gas prices are the highest in the continental United States, given green mandate formulas and the nation's highest, and still raising, gasoline taxes -- and are scheduled to go well over $6 a gallon.

Yet its ossified roads and highways are among the nation's most dangerous, as vast sums of transportation funding were siphoned off to the multibillion-dollar high-speed rail boondoggle.

The state imports almost all the costly vitals of modern life, mostly because it prohibits using California's own vast petroleum, natural gas, timber, and mineral resources.

As California implodes, its embarrassed government turns to the irrelevant, if not ludicrous.

It now outlaws natural gas stoves in new homes. It is adding new income-based surcharges for those who dutifully pay their power bills -- to help subsidize the 2.5 million Californians who simply default on their energy bill with impunity.

What happened to the once-beautiful California paradise?

Millions of productive but frustrated, overtaxed, and underserved middle-class residents have fled to low-crime, low-tax, and well-served red states in disgust.

In turn, millions of illegal migrants have swarmed the state, given its sanctuary-city policies, refusal to enforce the law, and generous entitlements.

Meanwhile, a tiny coastal elite, empowered by $9 trillion in Silicon Valley market capitalization, fiddled while their state burned.

California became a medieval society of plutocratic barons, subsidized peasants, and a shrinking and fleeing middle class. It is now home to a few rich estates, subsidized apartments, and unaffordable middle-class houses.

California suffers from poorly ranked public schools -- but brags about its prestigious private academies. Its highways are lethal -- but it hosts the most private jets in the nation.

The fantasies of a protected enclave of Gavin Newsom, Nancy Pelosi, and the masters of the Silicon Valley universe have become the abject nightmares of everyone else.

In sum, a privileged Bay Area elite inherited a California paradise and turned it into purgatory.

Thursday, June 20, 2024

Alinsky Tactics Are Very Outdated and the Left Hasn't Caught on Yet

By Brandon Morse | RedState.Com

Screenshot via Fox News

If you haven't seen the rant Fox News's Greg Gutfeld went on about the media hypocrisy around the "cheap fakes" narrative they're trying to spread about the videos that point out Biden is a mentally deficient octogenarian who should be in a retirement home, not an Oval Office, then you should definitely watch it. 

As Sister Toldjah wrote, Gutfeld slammed the press in Gutfeld fashion, pointing out how it's carrying the "cheap fake" narrative like good little Democrat foot soldiers, yet was conspicuously absent during every hoax that was launched against Donald Trump during his presidency. 

"Where were these anti-hoaxers in the ‘fine people hoax’, the ‘drinking bleach hoax’, the ‘koi pond hoax’, the ‘migrant kids in cages hoax’, the ‘border patrol migrants whipping migrants hoax’, the ‘lab leak is a conspiracy theory hoax’, the ‘Russian collusion hoax’…?”

Great monologue, but the underlying issue Gutfeld is complaining about is the left's use of Alinsky tactics. In this case, the use of rules 4, 5, 8, and 13. 

They are: 

Rule 4: "Make the enemy live up to its own book of rules."

Rule 5: "Ridicule is man’s most potent weapon."

Rule 8: "Keep the pressure on. Never let up."

Rule 13: "Pick the target, freeze it, personalize it, and polarize it."

The media's pattern of utilizing Alinsky tactics has done it and the left a lot of good, and they've had quite a bit of success with it, even in recent times. The issue is that the law of undulation is absolute. Alinsky's tactics have a shelf-life and the more they're utilized, the more people are going to figure out what you're doing and then find ways to fight it. 

Where Alinsky was once the Red Bull that gave the left wings, it's now the weight that drags them down. The sugar high is wearing off. They attacked too much, ridiculed too often; when you target, freeze, personalize, and polarize anyone too often, the fear of being targeted wears off. This especially applies when you attack the same target over and over again. 

In this case, the target has been Trump. They wanted to make Trump look like a massive villain, and they succeeded in many ways, but now it's becoming clear that a lot of the Democrats' theatrical hyperventilating about the man was all just that: theatrics. Every attack, from the Russian hoax to the New York trial where Trump was found guilty of multiple felonies, is all Alinsky tactics made manifest. 

And all of it is in an attempt to enact the fourth rule, making you live up to your own book of rules. 

The left wants you to see Trump as a villain, too. They want you to see all these vile stories about him. They're feeding you reasons as a stand-up citizen of traditional values to reject him. He's a convicted criminal! 

And one's biting. In fact, we Americans, with our traditional values, seem to be more enthused to vote for Trump than ever before. I would argue that this is because of a massive miscalculation by the left. It doesn't understand American culture. Yes, it's largely Judeo-Christian, but our entire culture and the blood that flows through our veins is based in rebellion. We don't like the establishment by nature. We're untrusting of it, and the Democrats have proven themselves to be the establishment, making Trump the de facto rebel leader in the minds of many by virtue of simply being the target of constant attacks.

There's nothing in Alinsky's rule book about this. The left continues with its failing tactic because it doesn't know what else to do.

What's worse is that the population that is catching onto the strategy — even if they don't know it by name — and is utilizing counter-strategies to combat the left. 

For instance, every time the left attempts to utilize five, eight, and 13 to get people to obey with four, the right begins pointing out the left's hypocrisies and crimes forthwith. Whatever attack they mustered is immediately shrugged off, and the left is forced to stand there weaponless and embarrassed...or as embarrassed as a sociopathic ideology can feel. 

Moreover, it shows that the left doesn't just misunderstand America, it misunderstands conservatives. Alinsky wrote the rules to apply in a land where conservatives were largely passive and happy to ask forgiveness out of pure politeness. It was easy to shame people into compliance back then, not because they were better people, but because they thought we were all playing by the same rules. 

That brand of conservatism is pretty much gone at this point. We've learned that these rules only apply to one side, and if that's the case, then we aren't going to play this stupid game. The conservatives in America have evolved, and the left hasn't caught on yet, despite having their faces continuously rubbed in the fact. 

Does this mean the left is weaponless? 

Not even remotely. The left still controls too many stages, from the news to entertainment. The fact that the "cheap fake" narrative exists at all is proof of just how controlled these outlets are. Anything remotely moderate would have laughed it off. 

Moreover, they own many information gateways and will happily manipulate what they can to give weight to their narratives. 

So, while their tactics might be failing, their weapons are still sharp. The good news is that their weapons can only hurt so much if they no longer know how to use them. 

Luckily, you live in a time when it's not hard to find the truth and expose the left. We do this at RedState constantly, but due to the fact that the left still controls too much, attacks against us aren't uncommon. This is why we have the VIP Program, a way of combatting the left's constant attempts and silencing and censoring us. We'd greatly appreciate it if you would sign up with us, and right now, we're making it very cheap to do so. 

Right now, using promo code "SAVEAMERICA" will give you 50% off your sign-up price, making it cheap to get access to VIP articles, videos, and podcasts not available to non-subs. Doing so not only helps us out, it makes it very hard for the left to get away with utilizing what weapons it has to spin false stories and silence the truth. 


 By Judd Garrett 

As we as a country celebrate Juneteenth, the final end of slavery in the United States 159 years ago, I am always amazed at the fact that over 90% of the black vote continues to go to the Democrats. The overwhelming majority of the harm that has been done to black people in the history of our country was done by Democrats. Democrats were the party of slavery; Democrats fought against reconstruction in the south; Democrats were the party of Jim Crow; Democrats where the party of segregation; Democrats were the party that started the Ku Klux Klan; and many more Democrats voted against the 1964 Civil Rights Bill and the 1965 Voting Rights Act then Republicans.

In modern-day America, the overwhelming majority of black communities are run by Democrats, and those communities are infested with gangs and drugs and crime and failing schools which continually repress the people in those communities. In the post-Civil War south, many former Confederate states often used poll taxes, literacy tests, intimidation and black codes to control people of color from becoming totally free, the modern Democrats use substandard education, welfare dependency, drug addiction and mockery to control the black population and keep them voting Democrat, even though the politicians they vote into office rarely make their communities any better.

In the history of the United States of America, the Democrats have always been on the wrong side of racial issues. There’s absolutely no debate about that. And even now, in the year 2024, when the overwhelming majority of the American people want to have a colorblind society – a society that no longer judges people based on the color of their skin – the Democrats again are drumming up and then exploiting racial animus, pushing DEI programs and intersectionality which forces people to judge each other based on the color of their skin.

Simply because the preferential races now are people of color and not white people does not make the racism any less evil. Racism is racism is racism is racism. There’s not one kind of racism which is bad and another kind of racism which is good or preferred. Racism is wrong. And contrary to what the Democrat and the far left want to claim, black people and people of color can be racist. And it is racist even to make the statement that black people and people color can’t be racist.

If we want everyone to stop judging each other based on the color of their skin, then we must stop judging each other based on the color of their skin. Was it wrong that for the first 87 years in our country’s history, black people in southern states were held in slavery? Of course it was. But it wasn’t wrong because the people held in slavery were black, it was wrong because human beings were held in slavery. Slavery is wrong, regardless of the color of the skin of the people who are the slaves and the skin color of the slaveowner.

So, on Juneteenth, as we celebrate the end of slavery in America, we also must acknowledge that slavery still exists in the world. Over 20 million people are still held as slaves around the world in Africa, in the Middle East, and in Asia. We continually bring up the slavery that ended 159 years ago in America, but we rarely bring up the slavery that is currently going on today. We are told that we must remember the slavery that existed in this country so we can make sure that that it never happens again, but we are not learning that lesson, if we fail to shine light on the blight of slavery that still persists around the world today. We can’t say that slavery in America that ended 159 years ago was one of the evilest things that has ever occurred and then refused to acknowledge or do anything to stop the slavery that still exists.

Because of the unwillingness of the creators of the Juneteenth holiday to use our dark history of slavery as the impetus to start a movement to eradicate slavery around the world today, one can only conclude that Juneteenth was created as a way to continue to stoke the racial animus in our country so that the black vote continues to go to the Democrats so they continue to control the black population in America with their failed policies. So as black people in America wake up on Juneteenth in Democrat run communities which lead the country in crime and gangs and drugs and failing schools, if they want to free themselves from the legacy of slavery in America, they should take a chance and vote for Republicans who will do the most liberating thing for them – treat them like human beings and not a skin color.

Tuesday, June 18, 2024

Detroit Poll Finds Barely Half of Black Michigan Voters Supporting Biden


AP Photo/Susan Walsh

Joe Biden has recently appeared to focus many of his policy decisions involving everything from marijuana policy to the war in Gaza based on how he believes it might help him with voters in Michigan, particularly Black voters. But if the results of the latest polling out of the Great Lakes State are anywhere near accurate, Uncle Joe may want to spend a bit more time out among the people and not at glitzy, high-dollar celebrity fundraisers. A USA Today/Suffolk poll reveals that barely half of Black Michigan likely voters (54%) support Joe Biden currently. That doesn't automatically translate into huge gains for Donald Trump in this demographic because he was the first choice for 15% of Black respondents. But he is still registering gains while Joe Biden is undeniably losing traction. (Newsweek)

While fewer Black voters in two critical swing states plan to vote for President Joe Biden compared to 2020, former President Donald Trump has seen his support among Black voters jump into the double digits surpassing his 2020 influence, a poll published on Sunday shows.

"Biden is still the first or second choice of the vast majority, while most would avoid Trump," a USA Today/Suffolk University phone survey of 500 registered Black voters in the swing states of Michigan and Pennsylvania found.

However, the poll conducted between June 9 and 13 and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points, also shows that the former president is gaining on his previous polling among Black voters in 2020.

When reviewing polls like these, we should always keep in mind that there is a significant difference between approval, support, and eventual voting patterns. Far fewer people may be willing to say that they approve of Biden's job performance thus far or label themselves as his "supporters," but that doesn't mean they will automatically vote for Donald Trump by any means. Some of them may hold their nose and vote for Biden anyway, but others could either vote for a third-party option or simply stay home. Neither of those second and third options is good for Joe Biden's chances in Michigan, particularly when it comes to getting out the Black vote. 

No credible political analyst believes that Donald Trump will carry a majority of the Black vote in November. But he doesn't need to. He's already doing five points better with that Demographic in Michigan than he did in 2020 and his numbers are going in the right direction. Conversely, if Biden only turns out 70% or less of the Black vote there with the rest going with some other option (he received 92% in 2020), Michigan is probably unwinnable for him.

The same poll focused on Black voters in Pennsylvania and the results were similar. Biden's support has softened considerably since 2020 while Donald Trump is registering some modest gains. Similar to the situation in Michigan, Donald Trump doesn't need to pick up all of the Black voters who are not currently supporting Biden. They will have other options. RFK Jr. is expected to make the ballot in the Keystone State, and Cornel West has been active there, so he will be available as a write-in option at a minimum. Pennsylvania was razor close four years ago, and it would take all that many voters migrating elsewhere for it to slip from Biden's grasp this time.

One Suffolk polling analyst broke down the numbers as an easy-to-grasp ratio. For every 2020 Black Biden voter who pulls the lever for Trump, Biden would need to attract an extra 13 Black voters that didn't turn out last time. That's a fairly steep hill to climb. This particular demographic is of interest to election analysts because Pennsylvania and Michigan have the exact same percentage of Black voters in the population (12.4%). That is a significant amount when a race is as close as this one is expected to be. And those voters are currently drifting away from Biden at nearly the same rate in both states. Obviously we are still too far out from November 5 to draw any firm conclusions or make predictions now, but I would wager that Donald Trump's team is seeing signs of life in quite a few states that barely slipped from his grasp four years ago.