Thursday, November 03, 2016
LA Times Presidential Election Poll
Rasmussen Reports
Among voters who are certain how they will vote,
Trump now has over 50% support.
Clinton and Trump have been tied for the previous
two days.
Eighty-eight percent (88%) of voters say they are
now certain how they will vote. Among these voters, Trump has a 10-point lead
over Clinton – 53% to 43%.
Clinton and Trump both earn 83% support from voters
in their respective parties and have just over 10% support among voters in
their opponent’s party.
Trump holds a double-digit lead among unaffiliated
voters, but these voters are also the most likely to say they could still
change their minds.
The GOP candidate still leads among men, while the
two are in a near tie among women.
Clinton remains well ahead among those under 40,
while older voters continue to prefer Trump by similar margins.
Younger voters are still the least sure of how they
will actually vote.
Trump holds his lead among whites but continues to
be far behind among black and other minority voters. Whites are the most
certain of their vote.
The majority of all voters consider the allegations
of sexual harassment by multiple women against Trump important to their
vote. But women (10%) are even less
likely than men (14%) to say the allegations have caused them to change their
vote.
Clinton is the first woman presidential nominee of a
major U.S. political party, but most voters, including the vast majority of
women, insist that won’t make a difference when they cast their vote.
MORE POLL NEWS:
It
didn’t take long for Jack Morris to regret voting for President Obama. A few
months after Mr. Morris, a lifelong Republican, cast his first vote for a
Democrat in 2008, he learned that the carpet company where he worked planned to
lay off 36 people in Pennsylvania and move his job to Maryland.
Mr.
Morris is one of a small subset of voters who supported Mr. Obama in 2008 and
have now embraced Mr. Trump, attracted by his vow to shake up the political
status quo and restore lost jobs.
A
CBS News poll conducted last month found that 7 percent of likely voters who
supported Mr. Obama in 2012 now back Mr. Trump.
In
Colorado, a new poll shows Hillary Clinton’s lead in the state has completely
evaporated amid the fallout from new FBI revelations in her email scandal.
Hillary
Clinton and Donald Trump are tied in Colorado, a new poll shows, entering the
final days of the 2016 presidential race.
The
University of Denver poll released Wednesday found Clinton and Trump deadlocked
at 39 percent in a four-way race, in a survey of registered likely voters
conducted Saturday through Monday.
Floyd Ciruli, a veteran Colorado pollster who
conducted the survey, said the numbers are “reflective of the fact that this
environment has turned negative for Clinton,” notably the FBI inquiry into
additional e-mails with possible ties to her tenure as secretary of state.
In Florida, the early vote trend is favoring Republicans.
Six
days before Election Day in 2012, Democrats in Florida had cast about 39,000
more votes than Republicans.
Today,
six days before Election Day 2016, Republicans have cast about 17,000 more
votes than Democrats.
The
bottom line, Democrats in Florida so far are performing worse than expected and
Republicans better.
In New Hampshire, a new poll shows Hillary Clinton’s lead in the
state has completely evaporated.
A new WBUR poll of likely voters in New Hampshire finds that
Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton are now in a dead heat
with just five days to go before Election Day.
The survey also finds Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte leading her
Democratic challenger, Gov. Maggie Hassan, by 6 points in one of the key races
that could determine which party will control the U.S. Senate.
In Ohio, Hillary Clinton trails by five points in the latest
Quinnipiac poll.
The Quinnipiac University poll found Trump up 46 percent to 41
percent among Ohio likely voters.
While Trump's lead is within the poll's margin of sampling error,
it also parallels two other recent public polls that also found Trump with a
5-point lead here.
Compiled by the RNC.