Wednesday, July 31, 2024

Harvard/Harris Poll and DNC Leaks May Sink Kamala Harris' Ship

By Jennifer Oliver O'Connell | RedState.com

AP Photo/Evan Vucci

Well, that didn't last long. The coronation of Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democrat nominee for president was supposed to sweep her on a wave of support into the Democrat National Convention. The donors and the voters were meant to see her as the inevitable candidate and the only one worthy of the nomination.

Womp Womp.

As my colleague Bonchie and our sister site Hot Air reported, Harris may appear as though she is gaining traction, but when you dig deeper, Harris is still losing the race to former President and Republican nominee for President Donald Trump. Despite the media gaslighting and the campaign's push, Harris is neither inevitable nor unbeatable.

Say, whose honeymoon is this, anyway? Supposedly, Kamala Harris has "totally upended" the race with The Anointment and the media's rush to proclaim the advent of "Kamalot." Also, Donald Trump only has a ceiling in the mid-40s and can't possibly win an outright popular-vote majority, especially with such a Historic Candidate™ as an opponent.

Or so analysts thought. According to a new Harvard-Harris CAPS poll, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris 52/48 with leaners, and 48/45 without. Harris has improved Joe Biden's numbers on the latter, but not the former.

But here's the worse news for the Harris campaign. Independents and undecided voters are breaking in the direction of Donald Trump, not toward Kamala Harris.

Even the unsure voters are breaking toward Trump, at least somewhat. The more worrisome data for Democrats are in the charts below, however. Trump holds Republicans to the ticket better than Harris holds her own party in both formulations. In fact, her 87% without leaners should be a red flag for the DNC, suggesting strongly that the party is not as sold on The Anointing as the media claims, even with the full-court press on Kamalot! 

Take a look at the indie numbers, too. Trump leads by six points without leaners -- and six points with leaners. One has to wonder whether the sample tilts a bit toward the Dems based on those results plus the party loyalty numbers above. If so, Trump's still scoring an outright majority over Harris, who's attractiveness as a candidate is at its zenith before she's forced to open her mouth about policy.

 And we all know what happens when she opens her mouth. But the Harris campaign continues pumping out the propaganda, particularly from the newly-minted "Harris Wins" X account.

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Post on "X"

Kamala’s Wins @harris_wins

BREAKING: Due to the plummeting of Donald Trump’s poll numbers, many on the Trump campaign are panicking and now considering dumping JD Vance off the ticket. The Trump campaign is imploding.

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"Plummeting?" That's an interesting perspective. And the hyperbole about the Trump campaign in panic and looking to replace JD Vance is purely fake news. They WISH he would replace JD Vance, as he is doing exactly what he was chosen to do: drive the Left crazy and cause the Republican establishment to scratch their heads. Another sign that the Kamala Harris bloom is not only off the rose, but wilting on the ground, is the fact that the short list of Harris' VP picks has gotten shorter because at least two of the chosen ones have indicated they do not want the job.

Two lawmakers seen as strong contenders in the race to become Kamala Harris’s running mate have announced that they are not in the running. On Monday, Michigan’s governor, Gretchen Whitmer, and the North Carolina governor, Roy Cooper, both said that while they support the vice-president, they will be staying in their posts in their respective states.

“This just wasn’t the right time for North Carolina and for me to potentially be on a national ticket,” Cooper said in a statement posted to Twitter/X on Monday. “As I’ve said from the beginning, she has an outstanding list of people from which to choose, and we’ll all work to make sure she wins.”

In an interview with CBS, Whitmer said that she has not been vetted by Harris’s office and expects Harris to announce her pick within the week, which would confirm the Democratic ticket at least two weeks before the Democratic national convention begins on 19 August in Chicago.

“I have communicated with everyone, including the people of Michigan, that I’m going to stay as governor until the end of my term at the end of 2026,” Whitmer said.

 As my colleague Ward Clark reported, Harris will announce her VP in two weeks and is scheduled to do a tour of battleground states with said pick. Those still open to self-immolation: PA Gov. Josh Shapiro, MN Gov. Tim Walz, KY Gov. Andy Beshear, and AZ Sen. Mark Kelly. While these are white men slated to give the "Black" woman gravitas (there's a a ton of tropes here that would take too long to get into!), none of these politicians excite anyone but the wine-sipping "White Women for Kamala" and the testosterone-deficient "Dudes for Kamala Harris." Maybe the VP will give her a boost, and maybe not. But if the top of the ticket hasn't greatly moved the needle, a No. 2 may initially raise some excitement, but will ultimately flame out just as quickly as this coronation.

In another sign that the Harris campaign may be in trouble, O'Keefe Media Group (OMG) just dropped an interview with a Democrat National Committee manager who basically said that Harris has "no accomplishments to speak of," and that they lie to the donors in order to extract the money they need.

This is my shocked face. The World War II military expression comes to mind: "Loose lips, sink ships." Consider this OMG expose one of the many leaks that will contribute to the sinking of the Good Ship Kamala. 

“I don’t think Kamala Harris would win this year,” reveals Joyce DeCerce (@JoyceDecerce) (he/him), Compliance Manager for the Democratic National Committee (@DNC) and Kamala Harris' (@KamalaHarris) Campaign.

 DeCerce adds, “She doesn’t have any accomplishments to speak of,” suggesting that Harris’s lack of popularity stems from her underachievement while in office. 

Regarding Harris’s approval amongst voters, the DNC Compliance manager states, “She's weirdly unpopular." 

DeCerce describes his role within the DNC as “an accounting function,” explaining, “It’s kind of like where accounting and legal meet.” 

DeCerce admits that the DNC’s engagement with donors is little more than a façade. He explains, “You just put on a performance for them, a little show, right?” implying that the DNC merely tells donors what they want to hear in order to receive donations. He further claims that the DNC’s approach is to fuel donors’ fantasies with empty promises, emphasizing, “They want their fantasy to be, you know, fed.” 

When @OKeefeMedia reached out to Kristin Hetherington, the CFO of the DNC, for comment, she hung up the phone in frustration after questioned if the DNC tells donors "what they want to hear," and if they play to donor's "fantasies." 

The undercover journalist who recorded Joyce DeCerce received a threatening postcard at her house featuring racial undertones in an apparent attempt to intimidate her and prevent this story from being aired.