Friday, September 30, 2022

U.S. has a replacement fertility rate problem

By William Haupt III | The Center Square contributor

Meghan Huberdeau /


"When women are in charge of their own bodies, they have enjoyable sex lives without the fear of unwanted pregnancies. We just have to accept the fact that birth rates will fall." – Vanessa Nakate

During the 1950s, the Twilight Zone's Rod Serling did a radio commercial for Planned Parenthood. He stoically said, "At the current birth rate of 4 million births a year, America will not be able to care for many of these unwanted babies. Shame on us for bringing babies into a world that has no room for them. And shame on those who fail to do something about it – when they can. Support Planned Parenthood and have babies only when you want them and only when you can afford them."

In 1981, Congress passed President Ronald Reagan's Adolescent Family Life Act. Government invested in programs to prevent teenage pregnancy through "abstinence." Parents taught their children about sex when they felt they were ready to learn about it. High school students only took one health-ed class that taught reproduction, hygiene, fertilization, family planning and respect for their bodies.

Since the unholy marriage of teacher unions with the federal government, public schools around America have become factories to clone new progressives. From outlawing prayer in classrooms, to making the pledge of allegiance optional, to teaching students about safe sex; and if they have an "accident" they can have an abortion – the public education system has totally failed America.

The adoption of common core, the dictates of federalism and teacher unions, made moral and character education an after-thought. Obsessive talk about social justice, racism, fairness over achievement, and social and economic reparations have replaced vital curriculum that students will need long after graduation. They no longer teach students how to be responsible U.S. citizens.

According to a Guttmacher Institute study, nine out ten teachers surveyed believe students should be taught about contraception and abortion in middle school or sooner no matter what their school district policy is. The vast majority also believe that sex education courses should cover where to go for birth control and abortion, how and when to use a condom, and diverse sexual activities.

Although "abstinence" is still taught in public school sex-ed classes, in the last decade teachers have been focusing on safe sex, birth control, proper use of condoms, abortion, and on sexually transmitted diseases. The average amount of teaching time spent on abstinence is down to 15%.

"That which matters most, must never be replaced by that which matters least." – Marcus Aurelius

Teachers point to the decline in abortions the past decade as proof teaching sex education at a younger age cuts down on abortions since teens know how to use contraceptives. Yet they neglect to mention contraceptives and abortion cut down the birthrate too low for generation replacement.

When the Supreme Court overturned Roe vs. Wade, it was a gift from their progressive god. When voters were about to give Congress back to the GOP, the Democrats turned the midterms from a referendum on Biden and the Democrats' failures, "into voting for abortion and against the GOP."

Results from a recent Pew research poll on abortion shows 80% of Democrats say abortion should be legal on demand. This is compared to 38% of Republicans that believe abortion should be legal in most cases with some exceptions. Some 40% of independents favored abortion in most cases.

The U.S. birthrate has been declining since the end of the baby booming 1950s. It accelerated in the 1970s and leveled off due to easy access to abortion and contraceptives. Since 2007, it has been declining and is dangerously low. The fertility rate now sits at 1.61 children per woman in the U.S., the lowest rate in history. And this is well below the necessary replacement fertility rate of 2.1.

"A shrinking population will reduce green house gases which is good for everyone." – Nancy Pelosi

The replacement fertility rate is what a country must maintain to keep population numbers stable. When the fertility rate falls below replacement level, the population grows older and shrinks, which puts more strain on governments. Today’s babies are tomorrow’s workers, taxpayers and "voters."

The Democrats depend on idiopathic eccentrics that will need to be replenished. Making abortion the party's call to arms is "Kevorkian" since Democrats abort twice as many babies as women in the GOP.

“Give me just one generation of youth, and I'll transform the whole world." – Vladimir Lenin

A number of recent headlines have attributed our historically low birth rates to an aging population, under reported abortions, contraceptives, and the cost of raising children. Regardless of why the U.S. fertility rate is so low, Democrats are promising young fertile women easier access to abortion.

Anything that lowers the fertility rate will also lower the number of Democratic voters. A new CDC report projects the U.S. fertility rate will continue to decline. Yet Democrats want to repeal the Hyde Amendment to pay for abortions for those on Medicaid who mostly all vote Democrat.

The left has proven, “There is nothing more uncommon than common sense.” – Frank Lloyd Wright

Barack Obama told us, "I won, you lost, numbers don't lie." After Roe, 15.7 million children were conceived due to liberal abortion laws, but were never born. That is not only a lot of lives; that is a lot of votes for any political party. In the not so distant future when the last Democrats are standing in line on Election Day, it would be interesting to ask them if he or she is pro life or pro abortion.

According to the CDC, the fertility rate has consistently been below replacement since 2007 and it is expected to continue to decline without incentives for women to have more babies; not less. If Democrats keep the House and increase their numbers in the Senate they will pass legislation that makes abortion on demand as common as going to the dentist yearly to get your teeth cleaned.

At a time America and the rest of the world is facing a fertility crisis, Democrats made abortion at all stages of pregnancy the heartbeat of their campaign. This proves they only care about winning at any cost today with no regard for future Americans. Anything that lowers our fertility rate is bad for America.

"A politician thinks of the next election: a statesman of the next generation." – C F Clarke

The Democrats have gone too far left to turn back. America has a serious replacement fertility rate problem and instead of incentivizing women to have more babies, the Democrats are promising them more abortions. It is a sad day for America when the Democratic Party can only base its campaigns on unrestricted abortions.

"The great difference between the real statesman and the pretender is; that one sees into the future, while the other regards only the present. One lives for the day, and acts on expedience; the other acts on enduring principles and acts for immortality." – Edmund Burke



Why the Left Cannot Successfully Reproduce Over the Generations

By Michael Brown |

Source: AP Photo/Mark Humphrey

Any ideology that cannot successfully reproduce over the course of several generations is doomed to fail. Put another way, any ideology that must rely on indoctrination more than (biological) reproduction cannot succeed in the long term. What does this imply for the future of leftwing secularism?

My thesis here is simple. 

On average, religious people have more children than non-religious people, and since religious people tend to lean right and non-religious people tend to lean left, there will be a long-term decline in the left-leaning base. Thus, according to, “The Future of Secularism: a Biologically Informed Theory Supplemented with Cross-Cultural Evidence,” published in the journal of Evolutionary Psychological Science in 2017, “Overall, religious people out-reproduce secularists. Consequently, the proportion of secularists in most if not all countries will decline noticeably.”

More specifically, the report suggested that “Atheism may be doomed because adherents use contraception more, while religious people tend to have higher rates of reproduction, a new study suggests.” Not surprisingly, as noted by Prof. Ryan P. Burge, “In 2018, 77.3% [of American atheist voters] identified as Democrats, 11.7% were independents, and 10.9% were Republicans.”

Whatever the reason may be, atheists have fewer children, on average, than religious believers, and atheists lean left in their ideologies and voting patterns. In fact, already in 2014, Kurt Schlichter wrote, “Democrats are waging war on the faithful and are even comfortable booing God on national TV. Give it three more presidential election cycles and the Democrat Party’s platform will be expressly antireligious.”

Just two years later, Michelle Boorstein penned an article for the Washington Post titled, “Meet the ‘Nones,’ the Democratic Party’s biggest faith constituency.” (The “nones” refers to people who identify with no formal religious affiliation.)

So, the Democratic Party’s biggest “faith” constituency is actually the group that claims no specific religious faith. But of course!

And I would expect that, over time, the “nones” will have fewer kids, on average, than people of deep religious faith.

Even more obviously, it is self-evident that abortion supporters will have fewer children, on average, than pro-lifers. The former also lean left; the latter lean right. Are you seeing a pattern here?

It’s the same with homosexual couples. They might be deeply devoted to each other. They might love each other as much as heterosexual couples do. They might love children, too. But since they cannot reproduce through sexual intimacy, it is much more difficult for them to become parents, having to rely on adoption or some artificial means of reproduction, also requiring the involvement of outside parties.

In stark contrast, children are the natural product of the most intimate act of love between two human beings, provided they are heterosexual. So, love directly begets children in marriage as created by God. But same-sex “marriages” violate God’s order and therefore, no matter how loving, cannot reproduce biologically by love.

And which way do LGBTQ+ voters lean? According to a 2020 UCLA study, “Nearly nine million LGBT adults are registered and eligible to vote in the 2020 general election. Half of registered LGBT voters (50%) are Democrats, 15% are Republicans, 22% are Independents, and 13% said they identify with another party or did not know with which party they most identify.”

Consider also this very interesting situation in Europe, where birth rates continue to decline at perilous rates.

As argued on the Gatestone Institute website in 2017 by Giuolo Meotti, “As Europe's leaders have no children, they seem to have no reason to worry about the future of their continent.” Or, to quote Douglas Murray, “Europe today has little desire to reproduce itself, fight for itself or even take its own side in an argument.”

To quote Meotti at length, “There have never been so many childless politicians leading Europe as today. They are modern, open-minded, and multicultural and they know that ‘everything finishes with them. In the short term, being childless is a relief since it means no spending for families, no sacrifices, and that no one complains about the future consequences. As in a research report financed by the European Union: ‘No kids, no problem!’.

“Being a mother or a father, however, means that you have a very real stake in the future of the country you lead. Europe's most important leaders leave no children behind.

“Europe's most important leaders are all childless: German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte, and the French presidential hopeful Emmanuel Macron. The list continues with Swedish Prime Minister Stefan Löfven, Luxembourg's Prime Minister Xavier Bettel, and Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon.”

Seeking to rebut this, the EU vs Disinfo website rejected the idea that, “THE EUROPEAN LEADERS DON'T HAVE CHILDREN BECAUSE THEY DON'T CARE ABOUT WORLD'S FUTURE.”

But that is to turn things upside down. Rather, the argument is that leaders without children will not be thinking about future generations in the same way that leaders with children will. This makes perfect sense. 

And it takes an overtly anti-religious mindset, like that of Communist China, to devise the one-child per family policy ostensibly out of concern for future generations. Talk about an incredibly misguided calculation.

Yet there is a bright side to all this. Not only are people of faith reproducing, but many countries are waking up to the weakness of leftist ideologies, most recently in Italy, where the election of Giorgia Meloni has stirred up a firestorm of leftist criticism. 

As noted by Ed Morrissey on HotAir, “Voters in yet another EU nation turned away from the leftward tilt of Brussels and more toward self-determination. Italy has elected its first right-wing coalition government in decades, and will almost certainly have its first female prime minister. Giorgia Meloni led her Brothers of Italy into a dominant role in the coalition, as both CNN and Reuters describe this as ‘the most right-wing government since World War II’ . . .”

As for Meloni, she proudly identifies as an Italian. And as a Christian. And as a woman. And as a mother. (Take a minute to watch this amazing clip in Italian, with English captions.)

As for the religious left, that too continues to decline, most notably in America.

All this makes perfect sense.