If you're unfamiliar with the partisan landscape of state legislatures across the country in recent years, here's a quick primer: With precious few, deep blue exceptions, Republicans have dominated.
During the Obama era, the GOP gained hundreds upon hundreds of seats in state-level governing bodies; they currently control 68 of 99 chambers nationwide.
The popular backlash to Obamaism was swift, deep, and now complete: The Republican Party now rules DC, too -- even if they seem incapable of taking advantage of this rare opportunity at unified governance.
But now that Trump is president, the roles could well reverse.
Much like the GOP in 2009, Democrats find themselves staggering about in the wilderness; leaderless, and with a base fanatically committed to maximum "resistance" against the new administration.
They've aired their intense opposition through the (largely sympathetic, if not outright allied) mainstream media, staged mass demonstrations, and leveraged every social media platform under the sun to fight Trump and the Republicans.
The political momentum, and the gravitational pull toward an ideological pendulum swing, appears to be on the Left's side.
And yet, here's what we relayed a few weeks ago regarding some early electoral outcomes that have occurred since Trump's November victory:
Zero pick-ups. In spite of major intensity and financial gaps fueled by The Resistance, the GOP held serve in all four contests.
But now there's an update to this story.
A seat in Louisiana has finally flipped. From blue to red.
Via the Republican State Leadership Committee:
- Republicans in February retained a Minnesota House seat which gave them their largest House majority ever post-presidential election, despite major Democrat Party surrogates campaigning for their candidate.
- Also in February, Republicans by 12 points retained a critical Senate seat in Connecticut to maintain a chamber tie first secured on Election Day 2016, despite Democrats investing heavily to flip the seat and win back an outright majority.
As I emphasized in my previous post, this is not cause for conservatives to adopt a posture of smugness or complacency.
Yes, regaining the US Senate is going to be a very tough task for Democrats due to the nature of the 2018 map, but they will have a great many opportunities to make other significant gains at the state legislative, gubernatorial and federal level next year.
Keep an eye on this upcoming special Congressional election in Georgia in a Trump-wary district, too.
Overall, Republicans have won so much lately that it will be a target-rich environment for the 'out' party.
And if President Trump's job approval rating is still suffering by next fall (absent mitigating factors), GOP losses could be substantial.
But these very early campaign results prove is that the Democratic/media narrative about a resurgent Left is at least premature, given the choices voters have made in five states.